Adaptive Seasonality Estimation for Campaign Optimization in Online Advertising
Abstract
This paper is concerned with the identification of seasonality in Internet user traffic of an advertising campaign, critical for optimal budget delivery and performance management. The seasonality typically manifests itself as a time-of-day (TOD) periodic pattern, which in this paper is modeled by a truncated Fourier series. An adaptive estimation scheme is proposed for the identification of the parameters, running alongside a feedback controller for the advertising campaign.
Paper
ACC 2021